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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Debt Ceiling – Trump’s Latest Court Case – New National Averages – New Hampshire, Georgia


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Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, May 22, 2023

Up 1 from May 10

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls. Biden’s disapproval rating averages 55% today (up 3 from May 10), putting him at 12 points net-negative.

Among voters statewide


Among all voters

  • Donald Trump over Joe Biden: +7 (47-40) Harvard-Harris
  • Donald Trump over Joe Biden: +2 (44-42) Economist
  • Donald Trump over Kamala Harris: +11 (50-39) Harvard-Harris
  • Ron DeSantis and Kamala Harris: even (42-42) Harvard-Harris
  • Joe Biden and Ron DeSantis: even (42-42) Harvard-Harris
  • Joe Biden and Ron DeSantis: even (41-41) Economist
  • Joe Biden over Nikki Haley: +2 (40-38) Harvard-Harris

RON’S COMMENT: Trump’s beating Biden and Harris; DeSantis vs. Biden is tied.


AVERAGE NATIONWIDE (based on latest three polls)
Among Republican primary voters 

  • Donald Trump: 53%
  • Ron DeSantis: 18%
  • Mike Pence: 5%
  • Nikki Haley: 4%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy: 3%
  • Asa Hutchinson: 1%
  • Tim Scott: 1%

RON’S COMMENT: Trump’s average national lead over Trump is a wide 35 points. In our last national average on May 10, it was Trump 55%, DeSantis 21%, Pence 6%, Haley 4%.

Among Republican primary voters 

  • Donald Trump: 39%
  • Ron DeSantis: 18%
  • Chris Sununu: 17%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy: 6%
  • Nikki Haley: 3%
  • Mike Pence: 1%
  • Tim Scott: 1%
  • Asa Hutchinson: 1%
  • Chris Christie: 1%

RON’S COMMENT: Trump beats DeSantis by 21 points in New Hampshire, but the former president loses to the field 48-39. Keep in mind that Sununu is the state’s governor. Ramaswamy is running better than Pence and Haley. (poll by National Research Inc/American Greatness)

Among Republican primary voters 

  • Donald Trump: 40%
  • Ron DeSantis: 32%
  • Brian Kemp: 7%
  • Nikki Haley: 6%
  • Mike Pence: 2%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy: 2%
  • Tim Scott: 2%
  • Chris Christie: 2%

RON’S COMMENT: Trump beats DeSantis by a slimmer 8-point margin in Georgia, and the former president loses to the field 53-40. What’s interesting is that the state’s GOP governor, Brian Kemp, only polls 7%, barely edging Haley. (poll by Landmark)

Among voters nationwide

As you may know, the limit on the country’s overall liabilities, including the federal deficit and other government debts, is called the debt ceiling. In order for the U.S. Treasury to incur debt above the ceiling, Congress needs to vote to raise the ceiling, which it has done regularly in the past. Congress is currently considering whether to raise the debt ceiling, since the current limit has been reached. What is your opinion? 

  • Congress should raise the debt ceiling: 47%
  • Congress should not raise the debt ceiling: 36%
  • Not sure: 23%

RON’S COMMENT: Most voters favor raising the debt ceiling, but it still falls below 50%…. 62% of Democrats, 35% of Republicans and 33% of independents favor raising the debt ceiling. (poll by The Economist/YouGov)

Who is more responsible for the current lack of agreement on raising the debt ceiling? 

  • Joe Biden: 35%
  • Republicans in the House : 29%
  • Both equally: 31%
  • Neither: 4%

RON’S COMMENT: No majority has formed over blame, although Biden has a bit more exposure than the House Republicans in this poll. More than 3 in 10 voters blame both sides equally. Nearly 4 in 10 independents blame both equally. (poll by The Economist/YouGov)

Among voters nationwide

Do you think that Donald Trump being found liable for sexual abuse and defamation. . . 

  • Disqualifies him from the presidency: 34%
  • Is relevant to this election, but does not disqualify him from the presidency: 27%
  • Is not relevant to this election: 31%
  • Not sure: 8%

RON’S COMMENT: Among Republicans, 8% say the ruling disqualifies Trump, 28% say it’s relevant but not a disqualifier and 56% say it’s not relevant to the election. (poll by The Economist/YouGov)

Among adults nationwide

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling…

% = Approve/Disapprove

  • Immigration: 36%/64%
  • Federal budget negotiations: 38%/62%
  • The situation with Russia and Ukraine: 43%/57%
  • The economy: 37%/63%
  • Jobs and employment issues: 44%/56%

RON’S COMMENT: Biden is under water on all five issues tested. (poll by CBS News)

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron